Scenario planning is a good way to get you prepare for the future activities. Absolutely it is not about predictions.
Scenario planning enables leaders to manage uncertainty and risk. Above all, scenarios help firms to understand the dynamics of the business environment, recognize new opportunities, assess strategic options, and take long-term decisions.
- Scenarios are not predictions: they are used to understand the forces shaping the future. What matters is not knowing exactly what the future will look like, but understanding the general direction in which it is moving—and why.
- Plan and structure the scenario process: for example, by agreeing who will be involved.
- Discuss possible futures (usually by working back from a possible view of the future).
- Develop the scenarios in greater detail.
- Analyze the scenarios: why they might occur, what you would do if they did.
- Use the scenarios to shape decisions and priorities.
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